**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory anchor the market around 27°C as the most likely minimum temperature for September 23, 2026.** Persistent northeast monsoon flow continues to influence the region, supporting a forecast temperature range of 27–31°C with partly sunny conditions, one or two showers, and relative humidity of 65–90%. Early-morning district readings and overnight trends show minima clustered near 26–27°C, consistent with the 69% implied probability for 27°C and the secondary 20% chance for 26°C. Limited cooling from the monsoon and the absence of stronger northerly surges or significant rainfall keep probabilities for 25°C or lower very low. Upcoming hourly updates and the final daily minimum reported by the Observatory will determine resolution, with traders closely tracking any late-day adjustments to the steering pattern or localized shower activity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 23 settembre?
27°C 78%
26°C 21%
25°C 7%
24°C 4%
$15,730 Vol.
$15,730 Vol.
22°C o inferiore
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
14%
26°C
29%
27°C
65%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 78%
26°C 21%
25°C 7%
24°C 4%
$15,730 Vol.
$15,730 Vol.
22°C o inferiore
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
14%
26°C
29%
27°C
65%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory anchor the market around 27°C as the most likely minimum temperature for September 23, 2026.** Persistent northeast monsoon flow continues to influence the region, supporting a forecast temperature range of 27–31°C with partly sunny conditions, one or two showers, and relative humidity of 65–90%. Early-morning district readings and overnight trends show minima clustered near 26–27°C, consistent with the 69% implied probability for 27°C and the secondary 20% chance for 26°C. Limited cooling from the monsoon and the absence of stronger northerly surges or significant rainfall keep probabilities for 25°C or lower very low. Upcoming hourly updates and the final daily minimum reported by the Observatory will determine resolution, with traders closely tracking any late-day adjustments to the steering pattern or localized shower activity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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