Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs around 29–31°C for August 5, yet trader consensus centers on 32–33°C as the most likely peak. This positioning reflects typical subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective heating that can push daytime maxima slightly above guidance. Persistent monsoon moisture and potential scattered thunderstorms introduce variability in realized highs, while climatological August averages near 32°C provide a baseline. Short-term model runs show modest spread in cloud cover and timing of any sea-breeze effects, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes closely matched until updated guidance narrows the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 5 agosto?
33°C 38%
32°C 37%
34°C 15%
31°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
37%
33°C
38%
34°C
15%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 38%
32°C 37%
34°C 15%
31°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
9%
29°C
$104 Vol.
3%
30°C
$5 Vol.
7%
31°C
$10 Vol.
12%
32°C
$44 Vol.
37%
33°C
$15 Vol.
38%
34°C
$17 Vol.
15%
35°C
$1,214 Vol.
9%
36°C
$42 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs around 29–31°C for August 5, yet trader consensus centers on 32–33°C as the most likely peak. This positioning reflects typical subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective heating that can push daytime maxima slightly above guidance. Persistent monsoon moisture and potential scattered thunderstorms introduce variability in realized highs, while climatological August averages near 32°C provide a baseline. Short-term model runs show modest spread in cloud cover and timing of any sea-breeze effects, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes closely matched until updated guidance narrows the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$1,475Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs around 29–31°C for August 5, yet trader consensus centers on 32–33°C as the most likely peak. This positioning reflects typical subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective heating that can push daytime maxima slightly above guidance. Persistent monsoon moisture and potential scattered thunderstorms introduce variability in realized highs, while climatological August averages near 32°C provide a baseline. Short-term model runs show modest spread in cloud cover and timing of any sea-breeze effects, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes closely matched until updated guidance narrows the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,475Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs around 29–31°C for August 5, yet trader consensus centers on 32–33°C as the most likely peak. This positioning reflects typical subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective heating that can push daytime maxima slightly above guidance. Persistent monsoon moisture and potential scattered thunderstorms introduce variability in realized highs, while climatological August averages near 32°C provide a baseline. Short-term model runs show modest spread in cloud cover and timing of any sea-breeze effects, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes closely matched until updated guidance narrows the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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