Recent forecast model consensus from the German Weather Service and ECMWF positions 33–34°C as the most likely maximum for Munich on August 5, driven by surface high pressure promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar heating under light easterly flow. These conditions align with climatological summer peaks while avoiding significant cloud cover or frontal cooling that could suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model runs, with 33°C leading at 37% amid minor spread to 32°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 5 agosto?
33°C 37%
34°C 24%
32°C 16%
35°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
16%
33°C
37%
34°C
24%
35°C
15%
36°C
10%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
34°C 24%
32°C 16%
35°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
16%
33°C
$0 Vol.
37%
34°C
$0 Vol.
24%
35°C
$0 Vol.
15%
36°C
$0 Vol.
10%
37°C
$17 Vol.
8%
38°C
$10 Vol.
1%
39°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the German Weather Service and ECMWF positions 33–34°C as the most likely maximum for Munich on August 5, driven by surface high pressure promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar heating under light easterly flow. These conditions align with climatological summer peaks while avoiding significant cloud cover or frontal cooling that could suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model runs, with 33°C leading at 37% amid minor spread to 32°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$57Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the German Weather Service and ECMWF positions 33–34°C as the most likely maximum for Munich on August 5, driven by surface high pressure promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar heating under light easterly flow. These conditions align with climatological summer peaks while avoiding significant cloud cover or frontal cooling that could suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model runs, with 33°C leading at 37% amid minor spread to 32°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from the German Weather Service and ECMWF positions 33–34°C as the most likely maximum for Munich on August 5, driven by surface high pressure promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar heating under light easterly flow. These conditions align with climatological summer peaks while avoiding significant cloud cover or frontal cooling that could suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model runs, with 33°C leading at 37% amid minor spread to 32°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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