Recent forecast models from the German Weather Service indicate a moderate high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich near 27–28°C on August 6, which aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Key variables include steering flow from the jet stream, potential southerly warm advection, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could suppress peaks by 2–3°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C+ under clearer skies. Historical August averages hover near 23–25°C, but recent model consensus has edged warmer amid lingering summer patterns, though ensemble spread remains wide just 48 hours out. Traders weigh these atmospheric uncertainties against official verification criteria for the day’s highest recorded temperature.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 6 agosto?
28°C 32%
29°C or higher 28%
27°C 21%
26°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
16%
27°C
21%
28°C
32%
29°C or higher
28%
28°C 32%
29°C or higher 28%
27°C 21%
26°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
19°C or below
$351 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$31 Vol.
1%
23°C
$27 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
2%
25°C
$48 Vol.
9%
26°C
$74 Vol.
16%
27°C
$170 Vol.
21%
28°C
$74 Vol.
32%
29°C or higher
$366 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the German Weather Service indicate a moderate high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich near 27–28°C on August 6, which aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Key variables include steering flow from the jet stream, potential southerly warm advection, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could suppress peaks by 2–3°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C+ under clearer skies. Historical August averages hover near 23–25°C, but recent model consensus has edged warmer amid lingering summer patterns, though ensemble spread remains wide just 48 hours out. Traders weigh these atmospheric uncertainties against official verification criteria for the day’s highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,874Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the German Weather Service indicate a moderate high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich near 27–28°C on August 6, which aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Key variables include steering flow from the jet stream, potential southerly warm advection, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could suppress peaks by 2–3°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C+ under clearer skies. Historical August averages hover near 23–25°C, but recent model consensus has edged warmer amid lingering summer patterns, though ensemble spread remains wide just 48 hours out. Traders weigh these atmospheric uncertainties against official verification criteria for the day’s highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,874Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the German Weather Service indicate a moderate high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich near 27–28°C on August 6, which aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Key variables include steering flow from the jet stream, potential southerly warm advection, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could suppress peaks by 2–3°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C+ under clearer skies. Historical August averages hover near 23–25°C, but recent model consensus has edged warmer amid lingering summer patterns, though ensemble spread remains wide just 48 hours out. Traders weigh these atmospheric uncertainties against official verification criteria for the day’s highest recorded temperature.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti