Latest short-range forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles show a consensus daily maximum of 15–16 °C for Cape Town on 6 August, driven by a transient Atlantic trough bringing light rain and moderate south-easterly flow that limits daytime heating. Typical mid-winter climatology places August highs near 17 °C, yet the current pattern features cooler marine air and cloud cover that suppress the upper end of the range. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with low spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to extremes above 18 °C or below 13 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine land–sea breeze effects and any frontal timing shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 6 agosto?
16°C 41%
15°C 31%
14°C 11%
17°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
31%
16°C
41%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
16°C 41%
15°C 31%
14°C 11%
17°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
$546 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$847 Vol.
1%
13°C
$665 Vol.
3%
14°C
$1,259 Vol.
11%
15°C
$738 Vol.
31%
16°C
$2,368 Vol.
41%
17°C
$1,067 Vol.
9%
18°C
$693 Vol.
2%
19°C
$461 Vol.
1%
20°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
21°C o superiore
$787 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles show a consensus daily maximum of 15–16 °C for Cape Town on 6 August, driven by a transient Atlantic trough bringing light rain and moderate south-easterly flow that limits daytime heating. Typical mid-winter climatology places August highs near 17 °C, yet the current pattern features cooler marine air and cloud cover that suppress the upper end of the range. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with low spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to extremes above 18 °C or below 13 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine land–sea breeze effects and any frontal timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$9,852Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles show a consensus daily maximum of 15–16 °C for Cape Town on 6 August, driven by a transient Atlantic trough bringing light rain and moderate south-easterly flow that limits daytime heating. Typical mid-winter climatology places August highs near 17 °C, yet the current pattern features cooler marine air and cloud cover that suppress the upper end of the range. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with low spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to extremes above 18 °C or below 13 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine land–sea breeze effects and any frontal timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,852Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles show a consensus daily maximum of 15–16 °C for Cape Town on 6 August, driven by a transient Atlantic trough bringing light rain and moderate south-easterly flow that limits daytime heating. Typical mid-winter climatology places August highs near 17 °C, yet the current pattern features cooler marine air and cloud cover that suppress the upper end of the range. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with low spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to extremes above 18 °C or below 13 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine land–sea breeze effects and any frontal timing shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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