Forecast models from sources like the BBC and regional services currently indicate a 33°C high for Shenzhen on August 6 under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 34°C (37%) and 33°C (30.5%) outcomes. Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate produces typical August maxima of 31–34°C, driven by high solar insolation, humidity, and regional atmospheric patterns. Recent observations show similar daily peaks around 32–34°C with minimal precipitation, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities. Minor model divergences on cloud cover or localized heating could shift the exact maximum, though no major fronts or typhoon influences appear imminent in the short-term guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 6 agosto?
34°C 38%
33°C 31%
32°C 14%
35°C 7.8%
$44,463 Vol.
$44,463 Vol.
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
31%
34°C
38%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
34°C 38%
33°C 31%
32°C 14%
35°C 7.8%
$44,463 Vol.
$44,463 Vol.
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
31%
34°C
38%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the BBC and regional services currently indicate a 33°C high for Shenzhen on August 6 under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 34°C (37%) and 33°C (30.5%) outcomes. Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate produces typical August maxima of 31–34°C, driven by high solar insolation, humidity, and regional atmospheric patterns. Recent observations show similar daily peaks around 32–34°C with minimal precipitation, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities. Minor model divergences on cloud cover or localized heating could shift the exact maximum, though no major fronts or typhoon influences appear imminent in the short-term guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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