Recent short-range forecasts for Karachi show high uncertainty in peak daytime temperatures for August 6, with ensemble models clustering around 32–34°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and convective activity from Arabian Sea moisture, which can suppress maximums through afternoon thunderstorms, alongside local sea-breeze effects that moderate coastal readings. Subtle differences in steering winds and boundary-layer humidity separate the 33°C and 34°C outcomes, while official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS continue to show small spread in this range. Historical August maxima average near 33°C, providing baseline context for trader positioning. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Karachi il 6 agosto?
33°C 41%
34°C 35%
32°C 21%
31°C 6%
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
21%
33°C
41%
34°C
35%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C o superiore
1%
33°C 41%
34°C 35%
32°C 21%
31°C 6%
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
21%
33°C
41%
34°C
35%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Karachi show high uncertainty in peak daytime temperatures for August 6, with ensemble models clustering around 32–34°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and convective activity from Arabian Sea moisture, which can suppress maximums through afternoon thunderstorms, alongside local sea-breeze effects that moderate coastal readings. Subtle differences in steering winds and boundary-layer humidity separate the 33°C and 34°C outcomes, while official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS continue to show small spread in this range. Historical August maxima average near 33°C, providing baseline context for trader positioning. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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