Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan and variable cloud cover as the main drivers keeping Chicago’s August 3 high temperature centered near 78–81 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact wind direction and timing of any afternoon clearing, creating the near-even split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 84 °F, so current cooler steering patterns and limited insolation explain why probabilities cluster below that benchmark while still allowing a small chance for 82 °F or higher if onshore flow weakens. Updated NWS forecast discussions expected later today could narrow the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 3 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 3 agosto?
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
69°F o meno
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
1%
30-31°C
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
69°F o meno
$266 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$232 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$67 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$291 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$207 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$224 Vol.
41%
80-81°F
$1,025 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$177 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$267 Vol.
1%
30-31°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
88°F o superiore
$325 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan and variable cloud cover as the main drivers keeping Chicago’s August 3 high temperature centered near 78–81 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact wind direction and timing of any afternoon clearing, creating the near-even split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 84 °F, so current cooler steering patterns and limited insolation explain why probabilities cluster below that benchmark while still allowing a small chance for 82 °F or higher if onshore flow weakens. Updated NWS forecast discussions expected later today could narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,138Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan and variable cloud cover as the main drivers keeping Chicago’s August 3 high temperature centered near 78–81 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact wind direction and timing of any afternoon clearing, creating the near-even split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 84 °F, so current cooler steering patterns and limited insolation explain why probabilities cluster below that benchmark while still allowing a small chance for 82 °F or higher if onshore flow weakens. Updated NWS forecast discussions expected later today could narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,138Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan and variable cloud cover as the main drivers keeping Chicago’s August 3 high temperature centered near 78–81 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact wind direction and timing of any afternoon clearing, creating the near-even split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 84 °F, so current cooler steering patterns and limited insolation explain why probabilities cluster below that benchmark while still allowing a small chance for 82 °F or higher if onshore flow weakens. Updated NWS forecast discussions expected later today could narrow the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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