Recent forecasts from models and the Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei highs near 35–36°C on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects, with limited afternoon convection expected. Late-July observations of 35–37°C readings across northern Taiwan, combined with seasonal climatology showing early-August peaks often in this narrow band, have concentrated market-implied odds on 36°C and 37°C. Minor model spread on moisture and steering flow keeps 35°C and 38°C+ viable, though current consensus favors the 36°C outcome as the most probable resolution threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 2 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 2 agosto?
37°C 32%
36°C 32%
35°C 19%
38°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
12%
33°C
8%
34°C
9%
35°C
19%
36°C
32%
37°C
32%
38°C
16%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
2%
37°C 32%
36°C 32%
35°C 19%
38°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$20 Vol.
1%
32°C
$25 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
8%
34°C
$0 Vol.
9%
35°C
$0 Vol.
19%
36°C
$21 Vol.
32%
37°C
$129 Vol.
32%
38°C
$193 Vol.
16%
39°C
$35 Vol.
4%
40°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and the Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei highs near 35–36°C on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects, with limited afternoon convection expected. Late-July observations of 35–37°C readings across northern Taiwan, combined with seasonal climatology showing early-August peaks often in this narrow band, have concentrated market-implied odds on 36°C and 37°C. Minor model spread on moisture and steering flow keeps 35°C and 38°C+ viable, though current consensus favors the 36°C outcome as the most probable resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$439Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and the Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei highs near 35–36°C on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects, with limited afternoon convection expected. Late-July observations of 35–37°C readings across northern Taiwan, combined with seasonal climatology showing early-August peaks often in this narrow band, have concentrated market-implied odds on 36°C and 37°C. Minor model spread on moisture and steering flow keeps 35°C and 38°C+ viable, though current consensus favors the 36°C outcome as the most probable resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$439Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and the Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei highs near 35–36°C on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects, with limited afternoon convection expected. Late-July observations of 35–37°C readings across northern Taiwan, combined with seasonal climatology showing early-August peaks often in this narrow band, have concentrated market-implied odds on 36°C and 37°C. Minor model spread on moisture and steering flow keeps 35°C and 38°C+ viable, though current consensus favors the 36°C outcome as the most probable resolution threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti