Recent short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to showers and cloud cover on August 2, 2026, supporting minimum temperatures near 24–26°C by limiting overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal warmth overall, yet localized rain and possible monsoon influences can produce brief cooling episodes that differentiate the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes in trader pricing. Historical August minima often hover around 26°C, so any strengthening of showers or wind shifts could push readings lower, while clearer intervals would favor the higher side. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for resolving this tight market-implied distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 2 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 2 agosto?
24°C 35%
25°C 34%
23°C 8%
26°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
35%
25°C
34%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 35%
25°C 34%
23°C 8%
26°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$346 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$523 Vol.
2%
23°C
$343 Vol.
8%
24°C
$456 Vol.
35%
25°C
$2,252 Vol.
34%
26°C
$389 Vol.
7%
27°C
$275 Vol.
2%
28°C
$353 Vol.
1%
29°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
30°C o superiore
$208 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to showers and cloud cover on August 2, 2026, supporting minimum temperatures near 24–26°C by limiting overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal warmth overall, yet localized rain and possible monsoon influences can produce brief cooling episodes that differentiate the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes in trader pricing. Historical August minima often hover around 26°C, so any strengthening of showers or wind shifts could push readings lower, while clearer intervals would favor the higher side. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for resolving this tight market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,483Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to showers and cloud cover on August 2, 2026, supporting minimum temperatures near 24–26°C by limiting overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal warmth overall, yet localized rain and possible monsoon influences can produce brief cooling episodes that differentiate the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes in trader pricing. Historical August minima often hover around 26°C, so any strengthening of showers or wind shifts could push readings lower, while clearer intervals would favor the higher side. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for resolving this tight market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,483Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to showers and cloud cover on August 2, 2026, supporting minimum temperatures near 24–26°C by limiting overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal warmth overall, yet localized rain and possible monsoon influences can produce brief cooling episodes that differentiate the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes in trader pricing. Historical August minima often hover around 26°C, so any strengthening of showers or wind shifts could push readings lower, while clearer intervals would favor the higher side. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for resolving this tight market-implied distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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