Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts highlight monsoon-driven rain, wind, and thundershowers across Sindh through early August 2026, including southeastern areas near Karachi, which have introduced cloud cover and moisture that suppress daytime heating and align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Seasonal August averages near 32°C, combined with a noted 3–5°C heat-index drop from recent oppressive conditions, position 32–34°C as the dominant cluster, while higher thresholds like 35°C remain low-probability given limited intensification windows before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing that directly influence peak readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Karachi il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Karachi il 4 agosto?
33°C 41%
34°C 35%
32°C 28%
31°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
19%
33°C
41%
34°C
35%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C o superiore
1%
33°C 41%
34°C 35%
32°C 28%
31°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
$115 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$25 Vol.
1%
30°C
$20 Vol.
2%
31°C
$20 Vol.
4%
32°C
$70 Vol.
19%
33°C
$86 Vol.
41%
34°C
$85 Vol.
35%
35°C
$20 Vol.
3%
36°C
$23 Vol.
3%
37°C o superiore
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts highlight monsoon-driven rain, wind, and thundershowers across Sindh through early August 2026, including southeastern areas near Karachi, which have introduced cloud cover and moisture that suppress daytime heating and align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Seasonal August averages near 32°C, combined with a noted 3–5°C heat-index drop from recent oppressive conditions, position 32–34°C as the dominant cluster, while higher thresholds like 35°C remain low-probability given limited intensification windows before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing that directly influence peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$509Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts highlight monsoon-driven rain, wind, and thundershowers across Sindh through early August 2026, including southeastern areas near Karachi, which have introduced cloud cover and moisture that suppress daytime heating and align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Seasonal August averages near 32°C, combined with a noted 3–5°C heat-index drop from recent oppressive conditions, position 32–34°C as the dominant cluster, while higher thresholds like 35°C remain low-probability given limited intensification windows before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing that directly influence peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$509Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts highlight monsoon-driven rain, wind, and thundershowers across Sindh through early August 2026, including southeastern areas near Karachi, which have introduced cloud cover and moisture that suppress daytime heating and align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Seasonal August averages near 32°C, combined with a noted 3–5°C heat-index drop from recent oppressive conditions, position 32–34°C as the dominant cluster, while higher thresholds like 35°C remain low-probability given limited intensification windows before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing that directly influence peak readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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