Traders see the highest temperature in Manila on August 4, 2026, clustering around 28–29°C because the southwest monsoon is delivering persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress peak daytime heating. Official PAGASA outlooks project a 25–31°C range for the date, with high rain chances limiting solar insolation and favoring lower maxima closer to climatological norms of 30–31°C when skies clear. Key differentiating factors include monsoon-driven humidity and wind patterns that enhance evaporative cooling versus any brief breaks allowing stronger surface heating; urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add minor upward bias but remain secondary to regional cloud and precipitation trends. With resolution just two days away, updated model runs and morning observations will determine whether the market shifts toward 30°C or holds near the current 28–29°C consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 4 agosto?
28°C 32%
29°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
12%
28°C
32%
29°C
28%
30°C
19%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C o superiore
1%
28°C 32%
29°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$38 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$28 Vol.
1%
25°C
$28 Vol.
2%
26°C
$3 Vol.
9%
27°C
$80 Vol.
12%
28°C
$16 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$1 Vol.
19%
31°C
$5 Vol.
9%
32°C
$20 Vol.
4%
33°C o superiore
$52 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Manila on August 4, 2026, clustering around 28–29°C because the southwest monsoon is delivering persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress peak daytime heating. Official PAGASA outlooks project a 25–31°C range for the date, with high rain chances limiting solar insolation and favoring lower maxima closer to climatological norms of 30–31°C when skies clear. Key differentiating factors include monsoon-driven humidity and wind patterns that enhance evaporative cooling versus any brief breaks allowing stronger surface heating; urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add minor upward bias but remain secondary to regional cloud and precipitation trends. With resolution just two days away, updated model runs and morning observations will determine whether the market shifts toward 30°C or holds near the current 28–29°C consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$271Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Manila on August 4, 2026, clustering around 28–29°C because the southwest monsoon is delivering persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress peak daytime heating. Official PAGASA outlooks project a 25–31°C range for the date, with high rain chances limiting solar insolation and favoring lower maxima closer to climatological norms of 30–31°C when skies clear. Key differentiating factors include monsoon-driven humidity and wind patterns that enhance evaporative cooling versus any brief breaks allowing stronger surface heating; urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add minor upward bias but remain secondary to regional cloud and precipitation trends. With resolution just two days away, updated model runs and morning observations will determine whether the market shifts toward 30°C or holds near the current 28–29°C consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$271Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Manila on August 4, 2026, clustering around 28–29°C because the southwest monsoon is delivering persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress peak daytime heating. Official PAGASA outlooks project a 25–31°C range for the date, with high rain chances limiting solar insolation and favoring lower maxima closer to climatological norms of 30–31°C when skies clear. Key differentiating factors include monsoon-driven humidity and wind patterns that enhance evaporative cooling versus any brief breaks allowing stronger surface heating; urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add minor upward bias but remain secondary to regional cloud and precipitation trends. With resolution just two days away, updated model runs and morning observations will determine whether the market shifts toward 30°C or holds near the current 28–29°C consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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