Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble guidance indicate an expected daily maximum of 20–22°C in Helsinki on August 4, positioning the 21°C and 22°C outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 70%. Early August climatology features average highs near 20–21°C, modulated by variable southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest diurnal ranges that limit outliers. Recent model runs show minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, with low precipitation chances supporting stable temperatures, though small differences in timing of any clearing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Traders monitor updated FMI briefings and high-resolution runs for resolution thresholds tied to official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Helsinki il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Helsinki il 4 agosto?
22°C 45%
21°C 25%
23°C 19%
20°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
25%
22°C
45%
23°C
19%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 45%
21°C 25%
23°C 19%
20°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
$55 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
9%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$332 Vol.
45%
23°C
$11 Vol.
19%
24°C
$68 Vol.
7%
25°C
$35 Vol.
4%
26°C
$31 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C o superiore
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble guidance indicate an expected daily maximum of 20–22°C in Helsinki on August 4, positioning the 21°C and 22°C outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 70%. Early August climatology features average highs near 20–21°C, modulated by variable southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest diurnal ranges that limit outliers. Recent model runs show minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, with low precipitation chances supporting stable temperatures, though small differences in timing of any clearing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Traders monitor updated FMI briefings and high-resolution runs for resolution thresholds tied to official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$554Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble guidance indicate an expected daily maximum of 20–22°C in Helsinki on August 4, positioning the 21°C and 22°C outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 70%. Early August climatology features average highs near 20–21°C, modulated by variable southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest diurnal ranges that limit outliers. Recent model runs show minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, with low precipitation chances supporting stable temperatures, though small differences in timing of any clearing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Traders monitor updated FMI briefings and high-resolution runs for resolution thresholds tied to official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$554Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble guidance indicate an expected daily maximum of 20–22°C in Helsinki on August 4, positioning the 21°C and 22°C outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 70%. Early August climatology features average highs near 20–21°C, modulated by variable southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest diurnal ranges that limit outliers. Recent model runs show minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, with low precipitation chances supporting stable temperatures, though small differences in timing of any clearing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Traders monitor updated FMI briefings and high-resolution runs for resolution thresholds tied to official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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