Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown across Île-de-France on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an expected afternoon high of 26°C following warmer July patterns. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 25°C and 26°C outcomes, as ensemble models from European centers show limited potential for significant deviation absent rapid shifts in steering flows or cloud cover. Typical August climatology for Paris centers on highs near 24–25°C, providing historical context for why extremes above 27°C or below 24°C carry low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official vigilance maps in the coming hours represent key variables that could refine these consensus views before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 6 agosto?
25°C 49%
26°C 36%
24°C 9%
27°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
49%
26°C
36%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
26°C 36%
24°C 9%
27°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
$354 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$907 Vol.
2%
23°C
$377 Vol.
3%
24°C
$687 Vol.
9%
25°C
$992 Vol.
49%
26°C
$897 Vol.
36%
27°C
$333 Vol.
8%
28°C
$431 Vol.
2%
29°C
$465 Vol.
1%
30°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown across Île-de-France on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an expected afternoon high of 26°C following warmer July patterns. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 25°C and 26°C outcomes, as ensemble models from European centers show limited potential for significant deviation absent rapid shifts in steering flows or cloud cover. Typical August climatology for Paris centers on highs near 24–25°C, providing historical context for why extremes above 27°C or below 24°C carry low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official vigilance maps in the coming hours represent key variables that could refine these consensus views before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,842Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown across Île-de-France on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an expected afternoon high of 26°C following warmer July patterns. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 25°C and 26°C outcomes, as ensemble models from European centers show limited potential for significant deviation absent rapid shifts in steering flows or cloud cover. Typical August climatology for Paris centers on highs near 24–25°C, providing historical context for why extremes above 27°C or below 24°C carry low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official vigilance maps in the coming hours represent key variables that could refine these consensus views before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,842Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown across Île-de-France on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an expected afternoon high of 26°C following warmer July patterns. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 25°C and 26°C outcomes, as ensemble models from European centers show limited potential for significant deviation absent rapid shifts in steering flows or cloud cover. Typical August climatology for Paris centers on highs near 24–25°C, providing historical context for why extremes above 27°C or below 24°C carry low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official vigilance maps in the coming hours represent key variables that could refine these consensus views before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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