Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5 point to a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with a chance of showers, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Ensemble model guidance and recent observations show typical mid-summer steering patterns and modest instability limiting stronger heating or cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from NOAA indicate temperatures 1-2°F above the 83°F August average. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model consensus runs most heavily, with lower probabilities on 84-85°F or 80-81°F ranges reflecting uncertainty in shower timing and any localized urban heat effects. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 5 agosto?
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 20%
86-87°F 6%
NUOVO
$12,551 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,551 Vol.
5 ago 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 20%
86-87°F 6%
NUOVO
$12,551 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,551 Vol.
5 ago 2026
71°F or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$563 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$667 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$837 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$1,298 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$5,381 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$1,228 Vol.
20%
86-87°F
$1,051 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$561 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5 point to a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with a chance of showers, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Ensemble model guidance and recent observations show typical mid-summer steering patterns and modest instability limiting stronger heating or cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from NOAA indicate temperatures 1-2°F above the 83°F August average. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model consensus runs most heavily, with lower probabilities on 84-85°F or 80-81°F ranges reflecting uncertainty in shower timing and any localized urban heat effects. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$12,551Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5 point to a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with a chance of showers, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Ensemble model guidance and recent observations show typical mid-summer steering patterns and modest instability limiting stronger heating or cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from NOAA indicate temperatures 1-2°F above the 83°F August average. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model consensus runs most heavily, with lower probabilities on 84-85°F or 80-81°F ranges reflecting uncertainty in shower timing and any localized urban heat effects. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,551Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5 point to a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with a chance of showers, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Ensemble model guidance and recent observations show typical mid-summer steering patterns and modest instability limiting stronger heating or cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from NOAA indicate temperatures 1-2°F above the 83°F August average. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model consensus runs most heavily, with lower probabilities on 84-85°F or 80-81°F ranges reflecting uncertainty in shower timing and any localized urban heat effects. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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