Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 6, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 56.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and regional sea surface temperatures around 29°C limit overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical summer conditions. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with minimal frontal influence or typhoon activity expected overnight, keeping lows near the seasonal average rather than dipping toward 26°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the latest HKO guidance and ensemble runs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the agency's verified 24-hour minimum reading at its reference station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 6 agosto?
27°C 60%
28°C 30%
26°C 11%
25°C 2%
NUOVO
$18,991 Vol.
NUOVO
$18,991 Vol.
6 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
60%
28°C
30%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 60%
28°C 30%
26°C 11%
25°C 2%
NUOVO
$18,991 Vol.
NUOVO
$18,991 Vol.
6 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$381 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,872 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,669 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,550 Vol.
11%
27°C
$2,748 Vol.
60%
28°C
$3,413 Vol.
30%
29°C
$4,651 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$939 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$935 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 6, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 56.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and regional sea surface temperatures around 29°C limit overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical summer conditions. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with minimal frontal influence or typhoon activity expected overnight, keeping lows near the seasonal average rather than dipping toward 26°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the latest HKO guidance and ensemble runs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the agency's verified 24-hour minimum reading at its reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,991Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 6, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 56.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and regional sea surface temperatures around 29°C limit overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical summer conditions. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with minimal frontal influence or typhoon activity expected overnight, keeping lows near the seasonal average rather than dipping toward 26°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the latest HKO guidance and ensemble runs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the agency's verified 24-hour minimum reading at its reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,991Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 6, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 56.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and regional sea surface temperatures around 29°C limit overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical summer conditions. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with minimal frontal influence or typhoon activity expected overnight, keeping lows near the seasonal average rather than dipping toward 26°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the latest HKO guidance and ensemble runs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the agency's verified 24-hour minimum reading at its reference station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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