**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27°C on September 18 under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, delivering clear skies, low humidity (55–85%), and easterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort.** This setup favors modest overnight radiative cooling, with dew points near 22–23°C supporting the market’s near-even split between 26°C (40.5%) and 27°C (45%) implied probabilities. Model consensus shows limited variability, though localized urban heat-island effects or slight wind shifts could nudge the actual low by 1°C. No significant weather systems are expected before the overnight minimum is recorded, leaving the outcome sensitive to final observational data from the Observatory network.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 18 settembre?
27°C 45%
26°C 41%
25°C 9%
28°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
41%
27°C
45%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 41%
25°C 9%
28°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$71 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$338 Vol.
9%
26°C
$3,047 Vol.
41%
27°C
$1,964 Vol.
45%
28°C
$580 Vol.
5%
29°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,168 Vol.
1%
31°C o superiore
$1,187 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27°C on September 18 under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, delivering clear skies, low humidity (55–85%), and easterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort.** This setup favors modest overnight radiative cooling, with dew points near 22–23°C supporting the market’s near-even split between 26°C (40.5%) and 27°C (45%) implied probabilities. Model consensus shows limited variability, though localized urban heat-island effects or slight wind shifts could nudge the actual low by 1°C. No significant weather systems are expected before the overnight minimum is recorded, leaving the outcome sensitive to final observational data from the Observatory network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,407Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27°C on September 18 under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, delivering clear skies, low humidity (55–85%), and easterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort.** This setup favors modest overnight radiative cooling, with dew points near 22–23°C supporting the market’s near-even split between 26°C (40.5%) and 27°C (45%) implied probabilities. Model consensus shows limited variability, though localized urban heat-island effects or slight wind shifts could nudge the actual low by 1°C. No significant weather systems are expected before the overnight minimum is recorded, leaving the outcome sensitive to final observational data from the Observatory network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,407Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27°C on September 18 under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, delivering clear skies, low humidity (55–85%), and easterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort.** This setup favors modest overnight radiative cooling, with dew points near 22–23°C supporting the market’s near-even split between 26°C (40.5%) and 27°C (45%) implied probabilities. Model consensus shows limited variability, though localized urban heat-island effects or slight wind shifts could nudge the actual low by 1°C. No significant weather systems are expected before the overnight minimum is recorded, leaving the outcome sensitive to final observational data from the Observatory network.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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