Recent forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's August 6 high near 29–31 °C, producing the tight 29 °C versus 30 °C split in trader-implied odds. Key drivers include warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge, combined with variable cloud cover and possible early showers that could limit peak insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact shower timing, and model handling of shortwave radiation explain the narrow gap between the top two outcomes; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor 30 °C or higher, while earlier cloud build-up supports 28–29 °C. Historical August variability and current model consensus keep probabilities clustered in this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 6 agosto?
29°C 38%
30°C 35%
28°C 16%
31°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
38%
30°C
35%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C o superiore
1%
29°C 38%
30°C 35%
28°C 16%
31°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$1,208 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$706 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$270 Vol.
1%
27°C
$262 Vol.
4%
28°C
$382 Vol.
16%
29°C
$636 Vol.
38%
30°C
$404 Vol.
35%
31°C
$1,134 Vol.
11%
32°C
$230 Vol.
2%
33°C o superiore
$129 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's August 6 high near 29–31 °C, producing the tight 29 °C versus 30 °C split in trader-implied odds. Key drivers include warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge, combined with variable cloud cover and possible early showers that could limit peak insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact shower timing, and model handling of shortwave radiation explain the narrow gap between the top two outcomes; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor 30 °C or higher, while earlier cloud build-up supports 28–29 °C. Historical August variability and current model consensus keep probabilities clustered in this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,997Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's August 6 high near 29–31 °C, producing the tight 29 °C versus 30 °C split in trader-implied odds. Key drivers include warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge, combined with variable cloud cover and possible early showers that could limit peak insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact shower timing, and model handling of shortwave radiation explain the narrow gap between the top two outcomes; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor 30 °C or higher, while earlier cloud build-up supports 28–29 °C. Historical August variability and current model consensus keep probabilities clustered in this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,997Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's August 6 high near 29–31 °C, producing the tight 29 °C versus 30 °C split in trader-implied odds. Key drivers include warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge, combined with variable cloud cover and possible early showers that could limit peak insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact shower timing, and model handling of shortwave radiation explain the narrow gap between the top two outcomes; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor 30 °C or higher, while earlier cloud build-up supports 28–29 °C. Historical August variability and current model consensus keep probabilities clustered in this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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