Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs of 32–34°C on August 7, 2026, aligning with typical August climatology of 30–33°C amid humid subtropical conditions. Weak steering patterns and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating without extreme peaks, while high humidity and potential scattered showers could cap intensification. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 34°C, centers on these near-term model runs, with 33°C and 35°C as close alternatives pending final observational data from local stations. No major heatwave signals have emerged in the past week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 7 agosto?
34°C 39%
35°C 24%
33°C 21%
36°C 9%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
21%
34°C
39%
35°C
24%
36°C
9%
37°C
4%
38°C o superiore
1%
34°C 39%
35°C 24%
33°C 21%
36°C 9%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
21%
34°C
39%
35°C
24%
36°C
9%
37°C
4%
38°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs of 32–34°C on August 7, 2026, aligning with typical August climatology of 30–33°C amid humid subtropical conditions. Weak steering patterns and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating without extreme peaks, while high humidity and potential scattered showers could cap intensification. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 34°C, centers on these near-term model runs, with 33°C and 35°C as close alternatives pending final observational data from local stations. No major heatwave signals have emerged in the past week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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