Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily maximum around 32–33°C for August 6 under typical late-summer conditions, with partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and limited afternoon convection supporting the market-implied 44% probability on 33°C. Seasonal norms place August highs near 31–32°C, but a normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook for August–October 2026 and reduced rainfall chances could allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 34°C, consistent with the 22.5% odds. Persistent cloud cover or showers, as observed in recent days, remain the main downside risks that could cap the peak at 32°C. Traders are weighting the consensus model guidance and historical analogs heavily ahead of the official daily maximum recording.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 6 agosto?
33°C 42%
32°C 28%
34°C 22%
31°C 5%
NUOVO
$69,512 Vol.
NUOVO
$69,512 Vol.
6 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
28%
33°C
42%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 28%
34°C 22%
31°C 5%
NUOVO
$69,512 Vol.
NUOVO
$69,512 Vol.
6 ago 2026
27°C or below
$6,798 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,869 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,164 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,774 Vol.
1%
31°C
$8,945 Vol.
5%
32°C
$14,758 Vol.
28%
33°C
$11,653 Vol.
42%
34°C
$5,559 Vol.
22%
35°C
$4,690 Vol.
4%
36°C
$2,882 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,420 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily maximum around 32–33°C for August 6 under typical late-summer conditions, with partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and limited afternoon convection supporting the market-implied 44% probability on 33°C. Seasonal norms place August highs near 31–32°C, but a normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook for August–October 2026 and reduced rainfall chances could allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 34°C, consistent with the 22.5% odds. Persistent cloud cover or showers, as observed in recent days, remain the main downside risks that could cap the peak at 32°C. Traders are weighting the consensus model guidance and historical analogs heavily ahead of the official daily maximum recording.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$69,512Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily maximum around 32–33°C for August 6 under typical late-summer conditions, with partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and limited afternoon convection supporting the market-implied 44% probability on 33°C. Seasonal norms place August highs near 31–32°C, but a normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook for August–October 2026 and reduced rainfall chances could allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 34°C, consistent with the 22.5% odds. Persistent cloud cover or showers, as observed in recent days, remain the main downside risks that could cap the peak at 32°C. Traders are weighting the consensus model guidance and historical analogs heavily ahead of the official daily maximum recording.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$69,512Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily maximum around 32–33°C for August 6 under typical late-summer conditions, with partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and limited afternoon convection supporting the market-implied 44% probability on 33°C. Seasonal norms place August highs near 31–32°C, but a normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook for August–October 2026 and reduced rainfall chances could allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 34°C, consistent with the 22.5% odds. Persistent cloud cover or showers, as observed in recent days, remain the main downside risks that could cap the peak at 32°C. Traders are weighting the consensus model guidance and historical analogs heavily ahead of the official daily maximum recording.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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