Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34°C for Hong Kong on August 7 amid typical summer humidity, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those bins. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, sustaining modest 22% implied odds on 35°C if daytime heating exceeds model consensus. Official resolution relies on the Observatory's recorded daily maximum, with any late intensification or clearer skies the main variables that could shift probabilities before the close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 7 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 7 agosto?
34°C 47%
33°C 28%
35°C 20%
32°C 4%
NUOVO
$59,368 Vol.
NUOVO
$59,368 Vol.
7 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
28%
34°C
47%
35°C
20%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 47%
33°C 28%
35°C 20%
32°C 4%
NUOVO
$59,368 Vol.
NUOVO
$59,368 Vol.
7 ago 2026
29°C or below
$2,471 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,795 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,821 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,629 Vol.
4%
33°C
$5,431 Vol.
28%
34°C
$7,692 Vol.
47%
35°C
$8,734 Vol.
20%
36°C
$5,874 Vol.
4%
37°C
$7,913 Vol.
1%
38°C
$2,503 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$3,503 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34°C for Hong Kong on August 7 amid typical summer humidity, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those bins. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, sustaining modest 22% implied odds on 35°C if daytime heating exceeds model consensus. Official resolution relies on the Observatory's recorded daily maximum, with any late intensification or clearer skies the main variables that could shift probabilities before the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$59,368Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34°C for Hong Kong on August 7 amid typical summer humidity, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those bins. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, sustaining modest 22% implied odds on 35°C if daytime heating exceeds model consensus. Official resolution relies on the Observatory's recorded daily maximum, with any late intensification or clearer skies the main variables that could shift probabilities before the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,368Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34°C for Hong Kong on August 7 amid typical summer humidity, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those bins. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, sustaining modest 22% implied odds on 35°C if daytime heating exceeds model consensus. Official resolution relies on the Observatory's recorded daily maximum, with any late intensification or clearer skies the main variables that could shift probabilities before the close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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