A recent influx of cooler polar air via a frontal system is the main driver suppressing maximum temperatures in Buenos Aires on August 6, shifting trader consensus toward 13–15 °C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate daytime highs near 15 °C under increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds shifting southerly, and light precipitation chances that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the long-term August average high of roughly 17 °C, explaining why the market assigns over 80 % combined probability to the 13–15 °C band while assigning minimal weight to 16 °C or warmer. Updated model runs and SMN briefings expected in the next 24 hours will determine whether further cooling pushes probabilities toward 13 °C or allows modest recovery toward 15 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 6 agosto?
14°C 55%
13°C 23%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
23%
14°C
55%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
13°C 23%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
8°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$188 Vol.
3%
13°C
$871 Vol.
23%
14°C
$2,575 Vol.
55%
15°C
$420 Vol.
14%
16°C
$171 Vol.
3%
17°C
$196 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$161 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A recent influx of cooler polar air via a frontal system is the main driver suppressing maximum temperatures in Buenos Aires on August 6, shifting trader consensus toward 13–15 °C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate daytime highs near 15 °C under increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds shifting southerly, and light precipitation chances that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the long-term August average high of roughly 17 °C, explaining why the market assigns over 80 % combined probability to the 13–15 °C band while assigning minimal weight to 16 °C or warmer. Updated model runs and SMN briefings expected in the next 24 hours will determine whether further cooling pushes probabilities toward 13 °C or allows modest recovery toward 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,172Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A recent influx of cooler polar air via a frontal system is the main driver suppressing maximum temperatures in Buenos Aires on August 6, shifting trader consensus toward 13–15 °C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate daytime highs near 15 °C under increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds shifting southerly, and light precipitation chances that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the long-term August average high of roughly 17 °C, explaining why the market assigns over 80 % combined probability to the 13–15 °C band while assigning minimal weight to 16 °C or warmer. Updated model runs and SMN briefings expected in the next 24 hours will determine whether further cooling pushes probabilities toward 13 °C or allows modest recovery toward 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,172Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...A recent influx of cooler polar air via a frontal system is the main driver suppressing maximum temperatures in Buenos Aires on August 6, shifting trader consensus toward 13–15 °C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate daytime highs near 15 °C under increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds shifting southerly, and light precipitation chances that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the long-term August average high of roughly 17 °C, explaining why the market assigns over 80 % combined probability to the 13–15 °C band while assigning minimal weight to 16 °C or warmer. Updated model runs and SMN briefings expected in the next 24 hours will determine whether further cooling pushes probabilities toward 13 °C or allows modest recovery toward 15 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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