Ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's August 5 maximum temperature centered on 33–34 °C, with tight spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and low-level wind patterns. The western Pacific subtropical high is expected to maintain weak subsidence and clear skies, favoring daytime heating, while scattered afternoon convection or a slight onshore flow shift could cap peaks near 33 °C or allow brief excursions to 35 °C. Urban heat-island amplification and typical August climatology (historical daily maxima averaging 32–34 °C) anchor the distribution, and fresh model runs or observational updates from regional meteorological centers will refine the outcome before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 5 agosto?
34°C 38%
33°C 35%
35°C 18%
32°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
35%
34°C
38%
35°C
18%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 38%
33°C 35%
35°C 18%
32°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
35%
34°C
38%
35°C
18%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's August 5 maximum temperature centered on 33–34 °C, with tight spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and low-level wind patterns. The western Pacific subtropical high is expected to maintain weak subsidence and clear skies, favoring daytime heating, while scattered afternoon convection or a slight onshore flow shift could cap peaks near 33 °C or allow brief excursions to 35 °C. Urban heat-island amplification and typical August climatology (historical daily maxima averaging 32–34 °C) anchor the distribution, and fresh model runs or observational updates from regional meteorological centers will refine the outcome before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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