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icon for La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 6 agosto?

La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 6 agosto?

icon for La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 6 agosto?

La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 6 agosto?

ago 5

ago 6

ago 5

ago 6

78-79°F 50%

76-77°F 38%

74-75°F 6%

80-81°F 5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

$15,318 Vol.

78-79°F 50%

76-77°F 38%

74-75°F 6%

80-81°F 5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

$15,318 Vol.

69°F o inferiore

$541 Vol.

<1%

70-71°F

$653 Vol.

<1%

72-73°F

$479 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$941 Vol.

6%

76-77°F

$2,236 Vol.

38%

78-79°F

$4,928 Vol.

50%

80-81°F

$596 Vol.

5%

82-83°F

$378 Vol.

1%

84-85°F

$655 Vol.

<1%

86-87°F

$1,926 Vol.

1%

88°F o superiore

$1,986 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 6 heavily favors 78–79°F (49.5% implied probability) and 76–77°F (38.0%), reflecting model consensus around a moderate coastal high near 79°F.** Official guidance from the National Weather Service and regional analyses, including UCLA’s August 3 synopsis, shows mostly sunny conditions with scattered high clouds and a forecast high/low of 79/67°F at representative stations such as LAX. This aligns with the persistent marine layer and onshore flow typical for coastal Southern California in early August, which caps daytime warming by advecting cooler Pacific air and fostering low stratus or fog that moderates peak temperatures. Broader August climatology places average LAX highs near 80–85°F, but current short-range model runs and observational trends point to slightly below-normal readings due to stable atmospheric conditions and limited offshore flow. No significant heat-wave signals or ridge strengthening appear in the immediate forecast window, keeping probabilities for 80°F+ outcomes low (under 7% combined). The market’s tight clustering around the 76–79°F range captures the narrow uncertainty band in ensemble guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution, with any late model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction the primary variables that could nudge the final reading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,318
Data di fine
6 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 6 heavily favors 78–79°F (49.5% implied probability) and 76–77°F (38.0%), reflecting model consensus around a moderate coastal high near 79°F.** Official guidance from the National Weather Service and regional analyses, including UCLA’s August 3 synopsis, shows mostly sunny conditions with scattered high clouds and a forecast high/low of 79/67°F at representative stations such as LAX. This aligns with the persistent marine layer and onshore flow typical for coastal Southern California in early August, which caps daytime warming by advecting cooler Pacific air and fostering low stratus or fog that moderates peak temperatures. Broader August climatology places average LAX highs near 80–85°F, but current short-range model runs and observational trends point to slightly below-normal readings due to stable atmospheric conditions and limited offshore flow. No significant heat-wave signals or ridge strengthening appear in the immediate forecast window, keeping probabilities for 80°F+ outcomes low (under 7% combined). The market’s tight clustering around the 76–79°F range captures the narrow uncertainty band in ensemble guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution, with any late model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction the primary variables that could nudge the final reading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,318
Data di fine
6 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Domande frequenti

"La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 6 agosto?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "78-79°F" a 50%, seguito da "76-77°F" a 38%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 50¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 6 agosto?" ha generato $15.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 4, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 6 agosto?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 6 agosto?" è "78-79°F" a 50%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "76-77°F" a 38%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 6 agosto?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.