Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Los Angeles on August 5 indicate a moderate high driven by persistent onshore marine flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This pattern, typical for early August under neutral ENSO conditions, supports maximum temperatures clustering in the mid-70s at official reporting stations rather than the seasonal average near 82–85°F. Updated runs from the past 24 hours show minimal warming potential due to stratus cloud cover and light winds, aligning with the market-implied 72% probability for 76–77°F. Warmer bins above 80°F remain low-probability outliers absent significant offshore flow or heat advection.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 5 agosto?
76-77°F 72%
78-79°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 1.7%
NUOVO
$28,784 Vol.
NUOVO
$28,784 Vol.
5 ago 2026
67°F o meno
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
72%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 72%
78-79°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 1.7%
NUOVO
$28,784 Vol.
NUOVO
$28,784 Vol.
5 ago 2026
67°F o meno
$598 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$611 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$787 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,201 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$6,645 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$4,941 Vol.
72%
78-79°F
$4,234 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$787 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$606 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$3,311 Vol.
<1%
86°F o superiore
$5,062 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Los Angeles on August 5 indicate a moderate high driven by persistent onshore marine flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This pattern, typical for early August under neutral ENSO conditions, supports maximum temperatures clustering in the mid-70s at official reporting stations rather than the seasonal average near 82–85°F. Updated runs from the past 24 hours show minimal warming potential due to stratus cloud cover and light winds, aligning with the market-implied 72% probability for 76–77°F. Warmer bins above 80°F remain low-probability outliers absent significant offshore flow or heat advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$28,784Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Los Angeles on August 5 indicate a moderate high driven by persistent onshore marine flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This pattern, typical for early August under neutral ENSO conditions, supports maximum temperatures clustering in the mid-70s at official reporting stations rather than the seasonal average near 82–85°F. Updated runs from the past 24 hours show minimal warming potential due to stratus cloud cover and light winds, aligning with the market-implied 72% probability for 76–77°F. Warmer bins above 80°F remain low-probability outliers absent significant offshore flow or heat advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,784Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Los Angeles on August 5 indicate a moderate high driven by persistent onshore marine flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This pattern, typical for early August under neutral ENSO conditions, supports maximum temperatures clustering in the mid-70s at official reporting stations rather than the seasonal average near 82–85°F. Updated runs from the past 24 hours show minimal warming potential due to stratus cloud cover and light winds, aligning with the market-implied 72% probability for 76–77°F. Warmer bins above 80°F remain low-probability outliers absent significant offshore flow or heat advection.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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