Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for San Francisco on August 6 indicates a daytime high near 73°F, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer that limits warming despite August climatology. This positions the 72-73°F bin as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability, with adjacent 70-71°F and 74-75°F bins reflecting typical forecast spread and minor model variance in boundary-layer mixing. Recent observations from early August show similar highs in the low-to-mid 70s under weak high pressure, with no strong offshore flow or heat dome expected to push values above 75°F or below 70°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable marine influences heavily against historical August maxima around 70°F.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 6 agosto?
72-73°F 42%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o superiore
<1%
72-73°F 42%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
$282 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$50 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$149 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$1,227 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$486 Vol.
42%
74-75°F
$241 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$262 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$364 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$166 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$568 Vol.
<1%
84°F o superiore
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for San Francisco on August 6 indicates a daytime high near 73°F, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer that limits warming despite August climatology. This positions the 72-73°F bin as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability, with adjacent 70-71°F and 74-75°F bins reflecting typical forecast spread and minor model variance in boundary-layer mixing. Recent observations from early August show similar highs in the low-to-mid 70s under weak high pressure, with no strong offshore flow or heat dome expected to push values above 75°F or below 70°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable marine influences heavily against historical August maxima around 70°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,275Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for San Francisco on August 6 indicates a daytime high near 73°F, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer that limits warming despite August climatology. This positions the 72-73°F bin as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability, with adjacent 70-71°F and 74-75°F bins reflecting typical forecast spread and minor model variance in boundary-layer mixing. Recent observations from early August show similar highs in the low-to-mid 70s under weak high pressure, with no strong offshore flow or heat dome expected to push values above 75°F or below 70°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable marine influences heavily against historical August maxima around 70°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,275Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for San Francisco on August 6 indicates a daytime high near 73°F, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer that limits warming despite August climatology. This positions the 72-73°F bin as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability, with adjacent 70-71°F and 74-75°F bins reflecting typical forecast spread and minor model variance in boundary-layer mixing. Recent observations from early August show similar highs in the low-to-mid 70s under weak high pressure, with no strong offshore flow or heat dome expected to push values above 75°F or below 70°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable marine influences heavily against historical August maxima around 70°F.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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