Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Paris around 28–30°C for August 8, with limited model spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (49% implied probability) and 31°C (28.5%). Persistent high-pressure patterns across western Europe, following multiple 2026 heatwaves that elevated baseline temperatures above the 24–26°C August climatology, favor this range while steering systems remain stable. Minor downward revisions in some ensemble runs account for the secondary 29°C probability (15%), whereas stronger warming signals in others underpin the smaller 32°C share. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from Météo-France and ECMWF will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi l'8 agosto?
30°C 50%
31°C 29%
29°C 14%
32°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
50%
31°C
29%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 50%
31°C 29%
29°C 14%
32°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$55 Vol.
2%
28°C
$75 Vol.
4%
29°C
$48 Vol.
14%
30°C
$376 Vol.
50%
31°C
$87 Vol.
29%
32°C
$89 Vol.
7%
33°C
$6 Vol.
4%
34°C
$28 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Paris around 28–30°C for August 8, with limited model spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (49% implied probability) and 31°C (28.5%). Persistent high-pressure patterns across western Europe, following multiple 2026 heatwaves that elevated baseline temperatures above the 24–26°C August climatology, favor this range while steering systems remain stable. Minor downward revisions in some ensemble runs account for the secondary 29°C probability (15%), whereas stronger warming signals in others underpin the smaller 32°C share. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from Météo-France and ECMWF will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$789Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Paris around 28–30°C for August 8, with limited model spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (49% implied probability) and 31°C (28.5%). Persistent high-pressure patterns across western Europe, following multiple 2026 heatwaves that elevated baseline temperatures above the 24–26°C August climatology, favor this range while steering systems remain stable. Minor downward revisions in some ensemble runs account for the secondary 29°C probability (15%), whereas stronger warming signals in others underpin the smaller 32°C share. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from Météo-France and ECMWF will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$789Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Paris around 28–30°C for August 8, with limited model spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (49% implied probability) and 31°C (28.5%). Persistent high-pressure patterns across western Europe, following multiple 2026 heatwaves that elevated baseline temperatures above the 24–26°C August climatology, favor this range while steering systems remain stable. Minor downward revisions in some ensemble runs account for the secondary 29°C probability (15%), whereas stronger warming signals in others underpin the smaller 32°C share. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from Météo-France and ECMWF will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti