Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Paris on August 8, driven by typical early-August radiative cooling overnight under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns closely with the climatological average low of about 15°C, positioning the 13–15°C outcomes as market favorites at combined implied probabilities exceeding 95%. Recent model runs show modest cooling potential from a stable high-pressure influence, though urban heat-island effects and any increase in cloud cover or humidity could nudge readings slightly higher. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability of 2–3°C around the mean, with resolution depending on official station data from Paris-Montsouris.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi l'8 agosto?
14°C 49%
13°C 27%
15°C 21%
16°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
5%
13°C
27%
14°C
49%
15°C
21%
16°C
9%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
14°C 49%
13°C 27%
15°C 21%
16°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
$54 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$81 Vol.
5%
13°C
$318 Vol.
27%
14°C
$863 Vol.
49%
15°C
$398 Vol.
21%
16°C
$217 Vol.
9%
17°C
$107 Vol.
4%
18°C
$298 Vol.
1%
19°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
21°C o superiore
$77 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Paris on August 8, driven by typical early-August radiative cooling overnight under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns closely with the climatological average low of about 15°C, positioning the 13–15°C outcomes as market favorites at combined implied probabilities exceeding 95%. Recent model runs show modest cooling potential from a stable high-pressure influence, though urban heat-island effects and any increase in cloud cover or humidity could nudge readings slightly higher. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability of 2–3°C around the mean, with resolution depending on official station data from Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,801Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Paris on August 8, driven by typical early-August radiative cooling overnight under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns closely with the climatological average low of about 15°C, positioning the 13–15°C outcomes as market favorites at combined implied probabilities exceeding 95%. Recent model runs show modest cooling potential from a stable high-pressure influence, though urban heat-island effects and any increase in cloud cover or humidity could nudge readings slightly higher. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability of 2–3°C around the mean, with resolution depending on official station data from Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,801Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Paris on August 8, driven by typical early-August radiative cooling overnight under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns closely with the climatological average low of about 15°C, positioning the 13–15°C outcomes as market favorites at combined implied probabilities exceeding 95%. Recent model runs show modest cooling potential from a stable high-pressure influence, though urban heat-island effects and any increase in cloud cover or humidity could nudge readings slightly higher. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability of 2–3°C around the mean, with resolution depending on official station data from Paris-Montsouris.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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