Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 34°C for Taipei on August 7, consistent with the recent hot spell that produced a verified 36°C peak on August 1. Trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between the 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (32.5%) brackets reflects typical summer variability from urban heat island effects, afternoon convection, and minor differences across forecast model runs. Historical August climatology shows frequent 32–34°C maxima, with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, subsiding conditions; upcoming CWA updates and any shifts in steering flow or moisture will likely refine these near-term odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 7 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 7 agosto?
35°C 33%
34°C 31%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
31%
35°C
33%
36°C
14%
37°C o superiore
4%
35°C 33%
34°C 31%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 ago 2026
27°C or below
$394 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$178 Vol.
2%
32°C
$57 Vol.
4%
33°C
$171 Vol.
16%
34°C
$70 Vol.
31%
35°C
$2,708 Vol.
33%
36°C
$643 Vol.
14%
37°C o superiore
$519 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 34°C for Taipei on August 7, consistent with the recent hot spell that produced a verified 36°C peak on August 1. Trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between the 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (32.5%) brackets reflects typical summer variability from urban heat island effects, afternoon convection, and minor differences across forecast model runs. Historical August climatology shows frequent 32–34°C maxima, with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, subsiding conditions; upcoming CWA updates and any shifts in steering flow or moisture will likely refine these near-term odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,427Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 34°C for Taipei on August 7, consistent with the recent hot spell that produced a verified 36°C peak on August 1. Trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between the 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (32.5%) brackets reflects typical summer variability from urban heat island effects, afternoon convection, and minor differences across forecast model runs. Historical August climatology shows frequent 32–34°C maxima, with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, subsiding conditions; upcoming CWA updates and any shifts in steering flow or moisture will likely refine these near-term odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,427Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 34°C for Taipei on August 7, consistent with the recent hot spell that produced a verified 36°C peak on August 1. Trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between the 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (32.5%) brackets reflects typical summer variability from urban heat island effects, afternoon convection, and minor differences across forecast model runs. Historical August climatology shows frequent 32–34°C maxima, with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, subsiding conditions; upcoming CWA updates and any shifts in steering flow or moisture will likely refine these near-term odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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