Drier southwest monsoon conditions prevailing over Singapore, as highlighted in the National Environment Agency's July 31 outlook, form the main driver behind the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C for August 7. Fair and occasionally windy weather is expected to limit cloud cover and rainfall that normally cap afternoon peaks, pushing daily maxima toward 33–34°C—above the long-term August average near 31°C. AccuWeather guidance shows a seasonal range of 28.8–33.7°C, underscoring model sensitivity to localized thundery showers or subsidence strength. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow historical variability and potential for brief convective cooling, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher low while concentrating implied odds on the 32–33°C band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Singapore il 7 agosto?
32°C 44%
33°C 42%
31°C 10%
34°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
44%
33°C
42%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
33°C 42%
31°C 10%
34°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
44%
33°C
42%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Drier southwest monsoon conditions prevailing over Singapore, as highlighted in the National Environment Agency's July 31 outlook, form the main driver behind the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C for August 7. Fair and occasionally windy weather is expected to limit cloud cover and rainfall that normally cap afternoon peaks, pushing daily maxima toward 33–34°C—above the long-term August average near 31°C. AccuWeather guidance shows a seasonal range of 28.8–33.7°C, underscoring model sensitivity to localized thundery showers or subsidence strength. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow historical variability and potential for brief convective cooling, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher low while concentrating implied odds on the 32–33°C band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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