Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus position London’s August 8 high near 27–28 °C under predominantly fine, dry conditions with sunny intervals and light variable winds. These factors limit cloud cover and allow daytime radiative heating while preventing excessive buildup, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those two outcomes. A broader summer 2026 warmth anomaly, with UK daytime maxima running more than 2 °C above the long-term average through early August, supports the elevated baseline, yet any increase in Atlantic moisture or stronger onshore flow could cap readings at 26 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and the next Met Office briefing later today will refine boundary-layer moisture and insolation forecasts ahead of the 09:00–21:00 observation window used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra l'8 agosto?
27°C 41%
28°C 31%
26°C 19%
29°C 8%
$10,743 Vol.
$10,743 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
19%
27°C
41%
28°C
31%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 31%
26°C 19%
29°C 8%
$10,743 Vol.
$10,743 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
19%
27°C
41%
28°C
31%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus position London’s August 8 high near 27–28 °C under predominantly fine, dry conditions with sunny intervals and light variable winds. These factors limit cloud cover and allow daytime radiative heating while preventing excessive buildup, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those two outcomes. A broader summer 2026 warmth anomaly, with UK daytime maxima running more than 2 °C above the long-term average through early August, supports the elevated baseline, yet any increase in Atlantic moisture or stronger onshore flow could cap readings at 26 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and the next Met Office briefing later today will refine boundary-layer moisture and insolation forecasts ahead of the 09:00–21:00 observation window used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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