Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a stable overnight minimum near 14°C on August 8 under mild anticyclonic conditions, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where average lows hover around 13–15°C amid typical North Atlantic high-pressure dominance suppressing colder air advection. Model consensus from global ensembles shows limited variability, with daytime highs reaching 25–28°C supporting radiative cooling to that threshold overnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or localized measurement discrepancies at official stations, though current guidance places such shifts well outside probable ranges before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra l'8 agosto?
14°C 99.4%
13°C <1%
10°C o inferiore <1%
11°C <1%
$18,219 Vol.
$18,219 Vol.
8 ago 2026
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
14°C 99.4%
13°C <1%
10°C o inferiore <1%
11°C <1%
$18,219 Vol.
$18,219 Vol.
8 ago 2026
10°C o inferiore
$262 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$546 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$637 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,813 Vol.
1%
14°C
$2,670 Vol.
99%
15°C
$7,101 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,898 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,139 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
20°C o superiore
$255 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a stable overnight minimum near 14°C on August 8 under mild anticyclonic conditions, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where average lows hover around 13–15°C amid typical North Atlantic high-pressure dominance suppressing colder air advection. Model consensus from global ensembles shows limited variability, with daytime highs reaching 25–28°C supporting radiative cooling to that threshold overnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or localized measurement discrepancies at official stations, though current guidance places such shifts well outside probable ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,219Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a stable overnight minimum near 14°C on August 8 under mild anticyclonic conditions, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where average lows hover around 13–15°C amid typical North Atlantic high-pressure dominance suppressing colder air advection. Model consensus from global ensembles shows limited variability, with daytime highs reaching 25–28°C supporting radiative cooling to that threshold overnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or localized measurement discrepancies at official stations, though current guidance places such shifts well outside probable ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,219Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a stable overnight minimum near 14°C on August 8 under mild anticyclonic conditions, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where average lows hover around 13–15°C amid typical North Atlantic high-pressure dominance suppressing colder air advection. Model consensus from global ensembles shows limited variability, with daytime highs reaching 25–28°C supporting radiative cooling to that threshold overnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or localized measurement discrepancies at official stations, though current guidance places such shifts well outside probable ranges before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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