Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with clear skies, light winds, and urban heat-island effects around Incheon International Airport, sustains elevated temperatures into August 8 amid South Korea’s ongoing heatwave. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts cluster daytime maxima near 34–36°C, with 35°C emerging as the market leader due to limited additional warming before any late-day instability or moisture advection develops. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact steering patterns creates the close spread between 34°C and 36°C outcomes, while climatological August baselines of 29–31°C underscore how the current anomalous pattern elevates probabilities for the upper 30s. Updated KMA short-range runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) l'8 agosto?
35°C 39%
34°C 28%
36°C 16%
37°C 8%
NUOVO
$16,703 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,703 Vol.
8 ago 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34°C
28%
35°C
39%
36°C
16%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
34°C 28%
36°C 16%
37°C 8%
NUOVO
$16,703 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,703 Vol.
8 ago 2026
31°C or below
$896 Vol.
1%
32°C
$910 Vol.
4%
33°C
$1,941 Vol.
6%
34°C
$1,817 Vol.
28%
35°C
$766 Vol.
39%
36°C
$3,431 Vol.
16%
37°C
$4,091 Vol.
8%
38°C
$1,152 Vol.
2%
39°C
$743 Vol.
1%
40°C
$535 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$421 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with clear skies, light winds, and urban heat-island effects around Incheon International Airport, sustains elevated temperatures into August 8 amid South Korea’s ongoing heatwave. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts cluster daytime maxima near 34–36°C, with 35°C emerging as the market leader due to limited additional warming before any late-day instability or moisture advection develops. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact steering patterns creates the close spread between 34°C and 36°C outcomes, while climatological August baselines of 29–31°C underscore how the current anomalous pattern elevates probabilities for the upper 30s. Updated KMA short-range runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$16,703Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with clear skies, light winds, and urban heat-island effects around Incheon International Airport, sustains elevated temperatures into August 8 amid South Korea’s ongoing heatwave. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts cluster daytime maxima near 34–36°C, with 35°C emerging as the market leader due to limited additional warming before any late-day instability or moisture advection develops. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact steering patterns creates the close spread between 34°C and 36°C outcomes, while climatological August baselines of 29–31°C underscore how the current anomalous pattern elevates probabilities for the upper 30s. Updated KMA short-range runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,703Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with clear skies, light winds, and urban heat-island effects around Incheon International Airport, sustains elevated temperatures into August 8 amid South Korea’s ongoing heatwave. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts cluster daytime maxima near 34–36°C, with 35°C emerging as the market leader due to limited additional warming before any late-day instability or moisture advection develops. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact steering patterns creates the close spread between 34°C and 36°C outcomes, while climatological August baselines of 29–31°C underscore how the current anomalous pattern elevates probabilities for the upper 30s. Updated KMA short-range runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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