Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models for Warsaw on August 9 project maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C under typical late-summer conditions with moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover, aligning with climatological averages near 24–25 °C. Consensus across runs shows weak synoptic forcing and stable high pressure supporting daytime peaks in this narrow band, with minimal spread in 2 m temperature guidance. Traders have priced the highest probability at 25 °C (46.5 %) followed by 26 °C (28.5 %), reflecting the latest model convergence and absence of anomalous warming signals. Official verification will come from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station, with any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation potentially shifting outcomes within the 24–27 °C range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 9 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 9 agosto?
25°C 47%
26°C 29%
24°C 20%
27°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26°C
29%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 47%
26°C 29%
24°C 20%
27°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
21°C or below
$12 Vol.
1%
22°C
$7 Vol.
2%
23°C
$12 Vol.
4%
24°C
$83 Vol.
20%
25°C
$42 Vol.
47%
26°C
$12 Vol.
29%
27°C
$17 Vol.
5%
28°C
$12 Vol.
3%
29°C
$27 Vol.
1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models for Warsaw on August 9 project maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C under typical late-summer conditions with moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover, aligning with climatological averages near 24–25 °C. Consensus across runs shows weak synoptic forcing and stable high pressure supporting daytime peaks in this narrow band, with minimal spread in 2 m temperature guidance. Traders have priced the highest probability at 25 °C (46.5 %) followed by 26 °C (28.5 %), reflecting the latest model convergence and absence of anomalous warming signals. Official verification will come from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station, with any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation potentially shifting outcomes within the 24–27 °C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$248Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models for Warsaw on August 9 project maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C under typical late-summer conditions with moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover, aligning with climatological averages near 24–25 °C. Consensus across runs shows weak synoptic forcing and stable high pressure supporting daytime peaks in this narrow band, with minimal spread in 2 m temperature guidance. Traders have priced the highest probability at 25 °C (46.5 %) followed by 26 °C (28.5 %), reflecting the latest model convergence and absence of anomalous warming signals. Official verification will come from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station, with any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation potentially shifting outcomes within the 24–27 °C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$248Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models for Warsaw on August 9 project maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C under typical late-summer conditions with moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover, aligning with climatological averages near 24–25 °C. Consensus across runs shows weak synoptic forcing and stable high pressure supporting daytime peaks in this narrow band, with minimal spread in 2 m temperature guidance. Traders have priced the highest probability at 25 °C (46.5 %) followed by 26 °C (28.5 %), reflecting the latest model convergence and absence of anomalous warming signals. Official verification will come from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station, with any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation potentially shifting outcomes within the 24–27 °C range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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