Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, with daytime highs forecast near 35–39°C and elevated humidity, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning 26–27°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the August 8 morning low. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble runs indicate stable overnight temperatures in this range, consistent with urban heat-island effects and light synoptic winds that have suppressed deeper drops. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 22–24°C, but the current heat dome has shifted probabilities upward, with traders assigning 73.5% combined odds to 26–27°C. Limited model spread and absence of incoming cooler maritime air or significant precipitation reinforce this consensus ahead of official resolution criteria based on Incheon station observations between 3–9 AM.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) l'8 agosto?
27°C 57%
26°C 28%
28°C 11%
25°C 10.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
28%
27°C
57%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 57%
26°C 28%
28°C 11%
25°C 10.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$138 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$373 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$208 Vol.
4%
25°C
$58 Vol.
10%
26°C
$545 Vol.
28%
27°C
$478 Vol.
57%
28°C
$975 Vol.
11%
29°C
$427 Vol.
2%
30°C
$485 Vol.
1%
31°C o superiore
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, with daytime highs forecast near 35–39°C and elevated humidity, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning 26–27°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the August 8 morning low. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble runs indicate stable overnight temperatures in this range, consistent with urban heat-island effects and light synoptic winds that have suppressed deeper drops. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 22–24°C, but the current heat dome has shifted probabilities upward, with traders assigning 73.5% combined odds to 26–27°C. Limited model spread and absence of incoming cooler maritime air or significant precipitation reinforce this consensus ahead of official resolution criteria based on Incheon station observations between 3–9 AM.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,143Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, with daytime highs forecast near 35–39°C and elevated humidity, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning 26–27°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the August 8 morning low. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble runs indicate stable overnight temperatures in this range, consistent with urban heat-island effects and light synoptic winds that have suppressed deeper drops. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 22–24°C, but the current heat dome has shifted probabilities upward, with traders assigning 73.5% combined odds to 26–27°C. Limited model spread and absence of incoming cooler maritime air or significant precipitation reinforce this consensus ahead of official resolution criteria based on Incheon station observations between 3–9 AM.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,143Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, with daytime highs forecast near 35–39°C and elevated humidity, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning 26–27°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the August 8 morning low. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble runs indicate stable overnight temperatures in this range, consistent with urban heat-island effects and light synoptic winds that have suppressed deeper drops. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 22–24°C, but the current heat dome has shifted probabilities upward, with traders assigning 73.5% combined odds to 26–27°C. Limited model spread and absence of incoming cooler maritime air or significant precipitation reinforce this consensus ahead of official resolution criteria based on Incheon station observations between 3–9 AM.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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