Recent subseasonal outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and National Environment Agency, issued in late July, indicate warmer-than-average temperatures across early August, with daily maxima most likely between 33–34 °C amid drier and occasionally windy conditions. This guidance, reinforced by strengthening El Niño sea-surface anomalies that favor above-baseline warmth in the Maritime Continent, underpins the market’s concentration of implied probability on 32 °C (51 %) and 33 °C (37 %). Historical August climatology centers near 31 °C, yet current model consensus and the absence of strong monsoon surges keep higher outcomes (34 °C+) at low single-digit probabilities. Traders will watch final 48-hour forecast runs and official station readings for any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Singapore il 9 agosto?
32°C 51%
33°C 37%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
51%
33°C
37%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 37%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
51%
33°C
37%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent subseasonal outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and National Environment Agency, issued in late July, indicate warmer-than-average temperatures across early August, with daily maxima most likely between 33–34 °C amid drier and occasionally windy conditions. This guidance, reinforced by strengthening El Niño sea-surface anomalies that favor above-baseline warmth in the Maritime Continent, underpins the market’s concentration of implied probability on 32 °C (51 %) and 33 °C (37 %). Historical August climatology centers near 31 °C, yet current model consensus and the absence of strong monsoon surges keep higher outcomes (34 °C+) at low single-digit probabilities. Traders will watch final 48-hour forecast runs and official station readings for any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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