Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Shanghai’s August 8 maximum reflects climatological norms for the city’s peak summer period, when average daily highs reach 31–32°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Recent model guidance and ongoing summer conditions, including scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, support these values without signaling an extreme heatwave or significant cooling from typhoon activity. Historical data show occasional spikes above 34°C but frequent moderation near 32°C in early-to-mid August. With resolution imminent, updated regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine probabilities ahead of the final observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai l'8 agosto?
32°C 44%
33°C 35%
34°C 10%
31°C 9%
NUOVO
$18,725 Vol.
NUOVO
$18,725 Vol.
8 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
44%
33°C
35%
34°C
10%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
33°C 35%
34°C 10%
31°C 9%
NUOVO
$18,725 Vol.
NUOVO
$18,725 Vol.
8 ago 2026
27°C or below
$1,623 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,592 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,343 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,538 Vol.
4%
31°C
$2,903 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,772 Vol.
44%
33°C
$2,250 Vol.
35%
34°C
$3,166 Vol.
10%
35°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$488 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Shanghai’s August 8 maximum reflects climatological norms for the city’s peak summer period, when average daily highs reach 31–32°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Recent model guidance and ongoing summer conditions, including scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, support these values without signaling an extreme heatwave or significant cooling from typhoon activity. Historical data show occasional spikes above 34°C but frequent moderation near 32°C in early-to-mid August. With resolution imminent, updated regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine probabilities ahead of the final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$18,725Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Shanghai’s August 8 maximum reflects climatological norms for the city’s peak summer period, when average daily highs reach 31–32°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Recent model guidance and ongoing summer conditions, including scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, support these values without signaling an extreme heatwave or significant cooling from typhoon activity. Historical data show occasional spikes above 34°C but frequent moderation near 32°C in early-to-mid August. With resolution imminent, updated regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine probabilities ahead of the final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,725Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Shanghai’s August 8 maximum reflects climatological norms for the city’s peak summer period, when average daily highs reach 31–32°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Recent model guidance and ongoing summer conditions, including scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, support these values without signaling an extreme heatwave or significant cooling from typhoon activity. Historical data show occasional spikes above 34°C but frequent moderation near 32°C in early-to-mid August. With resolution imminent, updated regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine probabilities ahead of the final observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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