Current forecasts for Shanghai on August 8 point to an overnight low near 28–29°C under the influence of the persistent western Pacific subtropical high, which limits radiative cooling overnight while maintaining humidity above 70% and light winds. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover expected that night would further trap heat, supporting the market’s leading 29°C outcome (35.5% implied probability) over 28°C (32.0%). Regional model consensus shows narrow spread, though any unexpected clear skies or stronger onshore flow could allow slightly greater cooling; traders weigh these near-term dynamics heavily given the tight probability split between the top two bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai l'8 agosto?
29°C 36%
28°C 33%
30°C 14%
27°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
36%
29°C
36%
30°C
14%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 33%
30°C 14%
27°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$232 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$790 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$915 Vol.
1%
26°C
$321 Vol.
6%
27°C
$507 Vol.
13%
28°C
$1,402 Vol.
36%
29°C
$2,823 Vol.
36%
30°C
$1,408 Vol.
14%
31°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$106 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shanghai on August 8 point to an overnight low near 28–29°C under the influence of the persistent western Pacific subtropical high, which limits radiative cooling overnight while maintaining humidity above 70% and light winds. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover expected that night would further trap heat, supporting the market’s leading 29°C outcome (35.5% implied probability) over 28°C (32.0%). Regional model consensus shows narrow spread, though any unexpected clear skies or stronger onshore flow could allow slightly greater cooling; traders weigh these near-term dynamics heavily given the tight probability split between the top two bins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,059Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shanghai on August 8 point to an overnight low near 28–29°C under the influence of the persistent western Pacific subtropical high, which limits radiative cooling overnight while maintaining humidity above 70% and light winds. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover expected that night would further trap heat, supporting the market’s leading 29°C outcome (35.5% implied probability) over 28°C (32.0%). Regional model consensus shows narrow spread, though any unexpected clear skies or stronger onshore flow could allow slightly greater cooling; traders weigh these near-term dynamics heavily given the tight probability split between the top two bins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,059Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Shanghai on August 8 point to an overnight low near 28–29°C under the influence of the persistent western Pacific subtropical high, which limits radiative cooling overnight while maintaining humidity above 70% and light winds. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover expected that night would further trap heat, supporting the market’s leading 29°C outcome (35.5% implied probability) over 28°C (32.0%). Regional model consensus shows narrow spread, though any unexpected clear skies or stronger onshore flow could allow slightly greater cooling; traders weigh these near-term dynamics heavily given the tight probability split between the top two bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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