Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 98.5% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology features typical overnight lows near 26°C amid high humidity and southerly flow, but current guidance shows stable conditions with limited nocturnal cooling and daytime maxima reaching 32–33°C. Normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, further support this level. A realistic challenge would require unexpected showers, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that enhance radiative cooling overnight, potentially dropping readings to 27°C or below before official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong l'8 agosto?
28°C 99%
27°C 1.4%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$88,413 Vol.
$88,413 Vol.
8 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 99%
27°C 1.4%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$88,413 Vol.
$88,413 Vol.
8 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$598 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,214 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,298 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,798 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,496 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13,157 Vol.
1%
28°C
$22,737 Vol.
99%
29°C
$26,173 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,364 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$641 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 98.5% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology features typical overnight lows near 26°C amid high humidity and southerly flow, but current guidance shows stable conditions with limited nocturnal cooling and daytime maxima reaching 32–33°C. Normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, further support this level. A realistic challenge would require unexpected showers, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that enhance radiative cooling overnight, potentially dropping readings to 27°C or below before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$88,413Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 98.5% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology features typical overnight lows near 26°C amid high humidity and southerly flow, but current guidance shows stable conditions with limited nocturnal cooling and daytime maxima reaching 32–33°C. Normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, further support this level. A realistic challenge would require unexpected showers, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that enhance radiative cooling overnight, potentially dropping readings to 27°C or below before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$88,413Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 98.5% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology features typical overnight lows near 26°C amid high humidity and southerly flow, but current guidance shows stable conditions with limited nocturnal cooling and daytime maxima reaching 32–33°C. Normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, further support this level. A realistic challenge would require unexpected showers, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that enhance radiative cooling overnight, potentially dropping readings to 27°C or below before official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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