Recent forecast models indicate variable cloud cover and scattered showers could moderate daytime heating in Chengdu tomorrow, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C. The Sichuan Basin’s topography often traps humidity and limits nocturnal cooling, while monsoon moisture and potential early thunderstorms may cap peak temperatures below seasonal extremes. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies highlights uncertainty in exact maximums depending on rainfall timing and intensity, consistent with historical early-August variability where highs typically range 30–35°C. Traders are weighting near-term model runs and satellite observations of atmospheric moisture ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu l'8 agosto?
33°C 24%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
31°C 12%
$10,439 Vol.
$10,439 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
19%
33°C
24%
34°C
22%
35°C
8%
36°C o superiore
6%
33°C 24%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
31°C 12%
$10,439 Vol.
$10,439 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
19%
33°C
24%
34°C
22%
35°C
8%
36°C o superiore
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate variable cloud cover and scattered showers could moderate daytime heating in Chengdu tomorrow, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C. The Sichuan Basin’s topography often traps humidity and limits nocturnal cooling, while monsoon moisture and potential early thunderstorms may cap peak temperatures below seasonal extremes. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies highlights uncertainty in exact maximums depending on rainfall timing and intensity, consistent with historical early-August variability where highs typically range 30–35°C. Traders are weighting near-term model runs and satellite observations of atmospheric moisture ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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