Recent meteorological model consensus and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance point to peak temperatures of 33–35°C in Tel Aviv on August 10, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and seasonal warming that typically peaks mid-month. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, but recent runs show a modest upward shift consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 34°C (54.5%) and 35°C (31%). Low precipitation and moderate humidity further support these levels, while coastal sea breezes may temper extremes. Updated forecast guidance and any model revisions over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader sentiment before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 10 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 10 agosto?
34°C 55%
35°C 31%
33°C 11%
36°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 ago 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
55%
35°C
31%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 55%
35°C 31%
33°C 11%
36°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 ago 2026
31°C or below
$38 Vol.
2%
32°C
$255 Vol.
3%
33°C
$633 Vol.
11%
34°C
$1,190 Vol.
55%
35°C
$608 Vol.
31%
36°C
$37 Vol.
5%
37°C
$129 Vol.
2%
38°C
$10 Vol.
3%
39°C
$10 Vol.
2%
40°C
$220 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$426 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance point to peak temperatures of 33–35°C in Tel Aviv on August 10, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and seasonal warming that typically peaks mid-month. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, but recent runs show a modest upward shift consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 34°C (54.5%) and 35°C (31%). Low precipitation and moderate humidity further support these levels, while coastal sea breezes may temper extremes. Updated forecast guidance and any model revisions over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,556Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance point to peak temperatures of 33–35°C in Tel Aviv on August 10, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and seasonal warming that typically peaks mid-month. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, but recent runs show a modest upward shift consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 34°C (54.5%) and 35°C (31%). Low precipitation and moderate humidity further support these levels, while coastal sea breezes may temper extremes. Updated forecast guidance and any model revisions over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,556Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance point to peak temperatures of 33–35°C in Tel Aviv on August 10, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and seasonal warming that typically peaks mid-month. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, but recent runs show a modest upward shift consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 34°C (54.5%) and 35°C (31%). Low precipitation and moderate humidity further support these levels, while coastal sea breezes may temper extremes. Updated forecast guidance and any model revisions over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader sentiment before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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