Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers associated with the prevailing monsoon flow are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Hong Kong, keeping forecast overnight lows near 28–29 °C for 10 August according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Recent model consensus and seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through mid-August, consistent with climatological baselines where early-August minimums rarely fall below 26 °C absent a strong continental outflow. Short-range forecasts show 28–32 °C daytime ranges with medium rain probabilities that further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader consensus with the 28–29 °C outcomes. Updated HKO bulletins and any shift in steering patterns remain the key near-term variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 10 agosto?
29°C 55%
28°C 29%
30°C 15%
32°C 15%
24°C o inferiore
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
14%
28°C
29%
29°C
55%
30°C
15%
31°C
8%
32°C
15%
33°C
1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 29%
30°C 15%
32°C 15%
24°C o inferiore
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
14%
28°C
29%
29°C
55%
30°C
15%
31°C
8%
32°C
15%
33°C
1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers associated with the prevailing monsoon flow are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Hong Kong, keeping forecast overnight lows near 28–29 °C for 10 August according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Recent model consensus and seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through mid-August, consistent with climatological baselines where early-August minimums rarely fall below 26 °C absent a strong continental outflow. Short-range forecasts show 28–32 °C daytime ranges with medium rain probabilities that further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader consensus with the 28–29 °C outcomes. Updated HKO bulletins and any shift in steering patterns remain the key near-term variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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