Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum temperature of 32°C or 33°C in Chongqing on August 8 because ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show daytime highs stabilizing near these values under typical early-August subtropical conditions. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity amplify sensible heat, while steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon favor scattered cloud cover and light precipitation that moderate peak readings. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights limited model spread for the 24–48-hour window, with any upward revision hinging on reduced cloudiness or stronger subsidence. Historical climatology places early-August means around 33–34 °C, supporting the current market clustering while underscoring sensitivity to short-term convective developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chongqing l'8 agosto?
32°C 36%
33°C 28%
34°C 16%
31°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
36%
33°C
28%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C o superiore
1%
32°C 36%
33°C 28%
34°C 16%
31°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
26°C or below
$397 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$190 Vol.
2%
29°C
$386 Vol.
2%
30°C
$142 Vol.
4%
31°C
$82 Vol.
15%
32°C
$2,567 Vol.
36%
33°C
$140 Vol.
28%
34°C
$1,816 Vol.
16%
35°C
$1,153 Vol.
3%
36°C o superiore
$254 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum temperature of 32°C or 33°C in Chongqing on August 8 because ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show daytime highs stabilizing near these values under typical early-August subtropical conditions. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity amplify sensible heat, while steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon favor scattered cloud cover and light precipitation that moderate peak readings. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights limited model spread for the 24–48-hour window, with any upward revision hinging on reduced cloudiness or stronger subsidence. Historical climatology places early-August means around 33–34 °C, supporting the current market clustering while underscoring sensitivity to short-term convective developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,284Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum temperature of 32°C or 33°C in Chongqing on August 8 because ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show daytime highs stabilizing near these values under typical early-August subtropical conditions. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity amplify sensible heat, while steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon favor scattered cloud cover and light precipitation that moderate peak readings. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights limited model spread for the 24–48-hour window, with any upward revision hinging on reduced cloudiness or stronger subsidence. Historical climatology places early-August means around 33–34 °C, supporting the current market clustering while underscoring sensitivity to short-term convective developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,284Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum temperature of 32°C or 33°C in Chongqing on August 8 because ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show daytime highs stabilizing near these values under typical early-August subtropical conditions. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity amplify sensible heat, while steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon favor scattered cloud cover and light precipitation that moderate peak readings. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights limited model spread for the 24–48-hour window, with any upward revision hinging on reduced cloudiness or stronger subsidence. Historical climatology places early-August means around 33–34 °C, supporting the current market clustering while underscoring sensitivity to short-term convective developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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