Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and NOAA point to a persistent heat dome and high-pressure pattern driving above-average temperatures across the Pacific Northwest, positioning 88–91°F as the market's leading outcomes for Seattle's August 5 high. This aligns with broader seasonal signals, including a 60–70% chance of warmer-than-normal conditions through summer and an emerging El Niño phase that favors elevated temperatures. Historical August averages hover near 77°F, making the current setup a notable departure, though model consensus can shift with incoming data on steering winds or marine layer influence. Traders are pricing in the latest runs showing limited cooling before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Seattle il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Seattle il 5 agosto?
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 24%
86-87°F 20%
84-85°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 24%
86-87°F 20%
84-85°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
79°F or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$214 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$936 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$343 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$719 Vol.
20%
88-89°F
$1,154 Vol.
45%
90-91°F
$955 Vol.
24%
92-93°F
$515 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$168 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$538 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$330 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and NOAA point to a persistent heat dome and high-pressure pattern driving above-average temperatures across the Pacific Northwest, positioning 88–91°F as the market's leading outcomes for Seattle's August 5 high. This aligns with broader seasonal signals, including a 60–70% chance of warmer-than-normal conditions through summer and an emerging El Niño phase that favors elevated temperatures. Historical August averages hover near 77°F, making the current setup a notable departure, though model consensus can shift with incoming data on steering winds or marine layer influence. Traders are pricing in the latest runs showing limited cooling before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$6,071Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and NOAA point to a persistent heat dome and high-pressure pattern driving above-average temperatures across the Pacific Northwest, positioning 88–91°F as the market's leading outcomes for Seattle's August 5 high. This aligns with broader seasonal signals, including a 60–70% chance of warmer-than-normal conditions through summer and an emerging El Niño phase that favors elevated temperatures. Historical August averages hover near 77°F, making the current setup a notable departure, though model consensus can shift with incoming data on steering winds or marine layer influence. Traders are pricing in the latest runs showing limited cooling before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,071Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and NOAA point to a persistent heat dome and high-pressure pattern driving above-average temperatures across the Pacific Northwest, positioning 88–91°F as the market's leading outcomes for Seattle's August 5 high. This aligns with broader seasonal signals, including a 60–70% chance of warmer-than-normal conditions through summer and an emerging El Niño phase that favors elevated temperatures. Historical August averages hover near 77°F, making the current setup a notable departure, though model consensus can shift with incoming data on steering winds or marine layer influence. Traders are pricing in the latest runs showing limited cooling before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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