Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate typical August conditions for Jeddah, with daytime highs near 36–38°C driven by intense solar radiation, high humidity from the Red Sea, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This baseline supports trader emphasis on the 40°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting allowance for short-term variability from wind patterns or localized heating that can push peaks 2–3°C above averages. Recent observations show stable summer heat without extreme anomalies, though model spreads and historical August maxima above 40°C introduce uncertainty favoring 41°C or higher at 17%. Updated National Center for Meteorology guidance and next-day satellite data could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Gedda il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Gedda il 6 agosto?
40°C 41%
41°C 23%
42°C o superiore 19%
39°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
32°C o inferiore
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
16%
40°C
41%
41°C
23%
42°C o superiore
19%
40°C 41%
41°C 23%
42°C o superiore 19%
39°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
32°C o inferiore
$499 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$164 Vol.
1%
37°C
$171 Vol.
3%
38°C
$304 Vol.
6%
39°C
$234 Vol.
16%
40°C
$942 Vol.
41%
41°C
$271 Vol.
23%
42°C o superiore
$2,009 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate typical August conditions for Jeddah, with daytime highs near 36–38°C driven by intense solar radiation, high humidity from the Red Sea, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This baseline supports trader emphasis on the 40°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting allowance for short-term variability from wind patterns or localized heating that can push peaks 2–3°C above averages. Recent observations show stable summer heat without extreme anomalies, though model spreads and historical August maxima above 40°C introduce uncertainty favoring 41°C or higher at 17%. Updated National Center for Meteorology guidance and next-day satellite data could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$5,440Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate typical August conditions for Jeddah, with daytime highs near 36–38°C driven by intense solar radiation, high humidity from the Red Sea, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This baseline supports trader emphasis on the 40°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting allowance for short-term variability from wind patterns or localized heating that can push peaks 2–3°C above averages. Recent observations show stable summer heat without extreme anomalies, though model spreads and historical August maxima above 40°C introduce uncertainty favoring 41°C or higher at 17%. Updated National Center for Meteorology guidance and next-day satellite data could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,440Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate typical August conditions for Jeddah, with daytime highs near 36–38°C driven by intense solar radiation, high humidity from the Red Sea, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This baseline supports trader emphasis on the 40°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting allowance for short-term variability from wind patterns or localized heating that can push peaks 2–3°C above averages. Recent observations show stable summer heat without extreme anomalies, though model spreads and historical August maxima above 40°C introduce uncertainty favoring 41°C or higher at 17%. Updated National Center for Meteorology guidance and next-day satellite data could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti