Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather outlooks for Houston place the August 6 high in the mid-90s, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around 94–97°F. Typical early-August conditions feature a subtropical ridge with southerly Gulf flow, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term average of 94–95°F while limiting extreme heat buildup. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and modest cloud cover introduce minor cooling potential that caps upside risk, keeping 98°F+ odds low. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger ridge or tropical moisture surge, so traders are weighting the most probable outcomes around seasonal norms with modest spread reflecting forecast uncertainty in peak temperature and timing of any convection.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Houston il 6 agosto?
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
85°F o inferiore
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F o superiore
<1%
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
85°F o inferiore
$10 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$103 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$47 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$90 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$128 Vol.
12%
94-95°F
$189 Vol.
46%
96-97°F
$1,081 Vol.
34%
98-99°F
$81 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$63 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$115 Vol.
<1%
104°F o superiore
$91 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather outlooks for Houston place the August 6 high in the mid-90s, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around 94–97°F. Typical early-August conditions feature a subtropical ridge with southerly Gulf flow, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term average of 94–95°F while limiting extreme heat buildup. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and modest cloud cover introduce minor cooling potential that caps upside risk, keeping 98°F+ odds low. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger ridge or tropical moisture surge, so traders are weighting the most probable outcomes around seasonal norms with modest spread reflecting forecast uncertainty in peak temperature and timing of any convection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,999Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather outlooks for Houston place the August 6 high in the mid-90s, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around 94–97°F. Typical early-August conditions feature a subtropical ridge with southerly Gulf flow, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term average of 94–95°F while limiting extreme heat buildup. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and modest cloud cover introduce minor cooling potential that caps upside risk, keeping 98°F+ odds low. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger ridge or tropical moisture surge, so traders are weighting the most probable outcomes around seasonal norms with modest spread reflecting forecast uncertainty in peak temperature and timing of any convection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,999Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather outlooks for Houston place the August 6 high in the mid-90s, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around 94–97°F. Typical early-August conditions feature a subtropical ridge with southerly Gulf flow, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term average of 94–95°F while limiting extreme heat buildup. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and modest cloud cover introduce minor cooling potential that caps upside risk, keeping 98°F+ odds low. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger ridge or tropical moisture surge, so traders are weighting the most probable outcomes around seasonal norms with modest spread reflecting forecast uncertainty in peak temperature and timing of any convection.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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