Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 6 as most likely 26–27 °C because seasonal norms during the peak rainy period place daily maxima in that narrow band, with official forecasts from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicating highs near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and afternoon showers. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m limits daytime heating, while persistent moisture from the North American monsoon favors cloud cover and convective rainfall that caps temperature peaks. Recent model runs show minor spread around these values, with any drier window potentially allowing a brief push toward 27 °C before widespread showers develop. Historical August averages hover near 24–25 °C, reinforcing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 25 °C and 28 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 6 agosto?
27°C 34%
26°C 33%
25°C 17%
28°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
17%
26°C
33%
27°C
34%
28°C
12%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 34%
26°C 33%
25°C 17%
28°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$74 Vol.
2%
24°C
$74 Vol.
3%
25°C
$319 Vol.
17%
26°C
$157 Vol.
33%
27°C
$1,375 Vol.
34%
28°C
$151 Vol.
12%
29°C
$148 Vol.
1%
30°C
$45 Vol.
1%
31°C
$281 Vol.
1%
32°C
$349 Vol.
1%
33°C o superiore
$681 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 6 as most likely 26–27 °C because seasonal norms during the peak rainy period place daily maxima in that narrow band, with official forecasts from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicating highs near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and afternoon showers. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m limits daytime heating, while persistent moisture from the North American monsoon favors cloud cover and convective rainfall that caps temperature peaks. Recent model runs show minor spread around these values, with any drier window potentially allowing a brief push toward 27 °C before widespread showers develop. Historical August averages hover near 24–25 °C, reinforcing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 25 °C and 28 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,653Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 6 as most likely 26–27 °C because seasonal norms during the peak rainy period place daily maxima in that narrow band, with official forecasts from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicating highs near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and afternoon showers. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m limits daytime heating, while persistent moisture from the North American monsoon favors cloud cover and convective rainfall that caps temperature peaks. Recent model runs show minor spread around these values, with any drier window potentially allowing a brief push toward 27 °C before widespread showers develop. Historical August averages hover near 24–25 °C, reinforcing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 25 °C and 28 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,653Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 6 as most likely 26–27 °C because seasonal norms during the peak rainy period place daily maxima in that narrow band, with official forecasts from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicating highs near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and afternoon showers. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m limits daytime heating, while persistent moisture from the North American monsoon favors cloud cover and convective rainfall that caps temperature peaks. Recent model runs show minor spread around these values, with any drier window potentially allowing a brief push toward 27 °C before widespread showers develop. Historical August averages hover near 24–25 °C, reinforcing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 25 °C and 28 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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