Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 9 with daytime maxima centered near 32–34°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system that promotes hot, humid air advection from the Pacific. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and scattered shower potential, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo sustain nighttime minima near 25°C and elevate daytime values. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as steering patterns and moisture fields evolve.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 9 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 9 agosto?
33°C 33%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
32%
33°C
33%
34°C
16%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 33%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
27°C or below
$141 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$87 Vol.
1%
29°C
$167 Vol.
3%
30°C
$29 Vol.
3%
31°C
$129 Vol.
14%
32°C
$51 Vol.
32%
33°C
$99 Vol.
33%
34°C
$33 Vol.
16%
35°C
$272 Vol.
8%
36°C
$105 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 9 with daytime maxima centered near 32–34°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system that promotes hot, humid air advection from the Pacific. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and scattered shower potential, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo sustain nighttime minima near 25°C and elevate daytime values. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as steering patterns and moisture fields evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,140Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 9 with daytime maxima centered near 32–34°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system that promotes hot, humid air advection from the Pacific. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and scattered shower potential, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo sustain nighttime minima near 25°C and elevate daytime values. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as steering patterns and moisture fields evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,140Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 9 with daytime maxima centered near 32–34°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system that promotes hot, humid air advection from the Pacific. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and scattered shower potential, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo sustain nighttime minima near 25°C and elevate daytime values. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as steering patterns and moisture fields evolve.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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