Recent PAGASA outlooks and AccuWeather guidance for Metro Manila indicate a highest temperature near 30–31°C on August 12, driven by the active southwest monsoon (habagat) delivering widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar heating across Luzon. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31°C daytime maxima amid high humidity and frequent rainfall, though any breaks in cloud could allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C. Model consensus favors suppressed peaks due to persistent moisture and limited insolation, with traders assigning over 70% combined implied probability to 30–31°C outcomes based on these conditions. Updated forecasts and any tropical cyclone developments could shift probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 12 agosto?
30°C 46%
31°C 27%
29°C 18%
32°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
18%
30°C
46%
31°C
27%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 46%
31°C 27%
29°C 18%
32°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
$396 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$432 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$64 Vol.
2%
28°C
$385 Vol.
3%
29°C
$563 Vol.
18%
30°C
$337 Vol.
46%
31°C
$151 Vol.
27%
32°C
$754 Vol.
5%
33°C
$851 Vol.
2%
34°C o superiore
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and AccuWeather guidance for Metro Manila indicate a highest temperature near 30–31°C on August 12, driven by the active southwest monsoon (habagat) delivering widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar heating across Luzon. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31°C daytime maxima amid high humidity and frequent rainfall, though any breaks in cloud could allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C. Model consensus favors suppressed peaks due to persistent moisture and limited insolation, with traders assigning over 70% combined implied probability to 30–31°C outcomes based on these conditions. Updated forecasts and any tropical cyclone developments could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$4,219Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and AccuWeather guidance for Metro Manila indicate a highest temperature near 30–31°C on August 12, driven by the active southwest monsoon (habagat) delivering widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar heating across Luzon. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31°C daytime maxima amid high humidity and frequent rainfall, though any breaks in cloud could allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C. Model consensus favors suppressed peaks due to persistent moisture and limited insolation, with traders assigning over 70% combined implied probability to 30–31°C outcomes based on these conditions. Updated forecasts and any tropical cyclone developments could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,219Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA outlooks and AccuWeather guidance for Metro Manila indicate a highest temperature near 30–31°C on August 12, driven by the active southwest monsoon (habagat) delivering widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar heating across Luzon. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31°C daytime maxima amid high humidity and frequent rainfall, though any breaks in cloud could allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C. Model consensus favors suppressed peaks due to persistent moisture and limited insolation, with traders assigning over 70% combined implied probability to 30–31°C outcomes based on these conditions. Updated forecasts and any tropical cyclone developments could shift probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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