Current short-range forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12 under overcast skies with light winds, positioning 14°C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with the city’s maritime climate, where oceanic moderation and typical winter westerlies keep August highs near the 12–14°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with no strong high-pressure ridge or frontal system expected to push readings to 15°C or higher. Trader-implied odds reflect this stable outlook, updated against the last several days’ cooler realizations around 10–12°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 12 agosto?
14°C 56%
15°C 31%
13°C 9%
16°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
9°C o meno
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
9%
14°C
56%
15°C
31%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
14°C 56%
15°C 31%
13°C 9%
16°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
9°C o meno
$373 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$338 Vol.
1%
12°C
$198 Vol.
1%
13°C
$798 Vol.
9%
14°C
$944 Vol.
56%
15°C
$1,493 Vol.
31%
16°C
$238 Vol.
5%
17°C
$250 Vol.
2%
18°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
19°C o superiore
$417 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12 under overcast skies with light winds, positioning 14°C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with the city’s maritime climate, where oceanic moderation and typical winter westerlies keep August highs near the 12–14°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with no strong high-pressure ridge or frontal system expected to push readings to 15°C or higher. Trader-implied odds reflect this stable outlook, updated against the last several days’ cooler realizations around 10–12°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$5,520Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12 under overcast skies with light winds, positioning 14°C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with the city’s maritime climate, where oceanic moderation and typical winter westerlies keep August highs near the 12–14°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with no strong high-pressure ridge or frontal system expected to push readings to 15°C or higher. Trader-implied odds reflect this stable outlook, updated against the last several days’ cooler realizations around 10–12°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,520Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12 under overcast skies with light winds, positioning 14°C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with the city’s maritime climate, where oceanic moderation and typical winter westerlies keep August highs near the 12–14°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with no strong high-pressure ridge or frontal system expected to push readings to 15°C or higher. Trader-implied odds reflect this stable outlook, updated against the last several days’ cooler realizations around 10–12°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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